MANPADS: Man Portable Air Defence System
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Flight Safety
Information |
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Flight
Safety Information |
August 8, 2014 - No.
163 |
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Airlines fret about missiles, but experts see little
risk
WASHINGTON -- Because of conflicts in Ukraine and Israel, airlines and
regulators are growing worried about military weapons capable of shooting down
planes falling into hands of people outside government control.
But an
expert on military hardware dismissed as minimal the threat from surface-to-air
missiles in the hands of terrorists because of the sophistication and cost of
weapons that can hit a plane cruising more than 30,000 feet above the
ground.
The aviation industry is grappling with the threat after a
Malaysia Airlines flight was shot down July 17 over Ukraine with 298 people
aboard. U.S. intelligence sources say a missile brought down the plane and
puncture marks in the fuselage suggest the weapon was a Russian-made
SA-11.
Pro-Russia separatists are fighting the Ukraine government in the
area, worrying airline industry officials that powerful anti-aircraft weapons
are in the hands of separatists not affiliated with a government.
"The
threat is posed by both state and non-state actors, which could employ these
capabilities," Claudio Manno, the Federal Aviation Administration's assistant
administrator for security and hazardous materials safety, told a conference
Thursday of the Air Line Pilots Association.
Airlines also suspended
flights to Israel on July 22, when a rocket fell about a mile from the airport
in Tel Aviv during the conflict with Palestinians in Gaza. FAA prohibited U.S.
flights there for 36 hours.
"This is a concern that is really emerging
now," Manno said. "It's a different dynamic than what we've had to deal with in
the past."
The shoot-down in Ukraine spurred the International Air
Transport Association, which represents 240 airlines worldwide, and the
International Civil Aviation Organization, a branch of the United Nations that
recommends policies, to call for governments to better manage the deployment of
anti-aircraft weapons. Such conventions are already in place for chemical,
nuclear and biological weapons, said Tony Tyler, CEO of the airline
group.
"Civil aircraft are instruments of peace and should never be the
target of weapons of war," Tyler said. The Malaysia incident "demonstrated that
powerful and sophisticated anti-aircraft weaponry is in the hands of non-state
entities."
But John Pike, executive director of GlobalSecurity.org, said
the systems are so expensive and difficult to operate that only about 50 nations
have the capability to fire them, and independent militants couldn't manage
it.
These systems include sophisticated missiles, radar to track planes
and highly trained crews to identify targets and fire the weapons. A single
system such as the SA-11 usually consists of several trucks.
Crews train
for more than a year to operate the U.S. military's Patriot missile system,
which can knock down advanced aircraft and missiles, Pike said.
"Not
every country with a flag is up to it," Pike said. "You have to be a government
- a real government - to run one. A radar-guided system is about the most
complicated piece of (equipment) that ground forces operate."
Despite the
difficulty of hitting planes at cruising altitudes of 30,000 feet or higher,
portable or shoulder-fired weapons can hit planes closer to the ground when they
are landing or taking off. That was the threat in Tel Aviv.
The FAA
routinely issues warnings to airlines to fly at least certain heights above the
ground over conflict zones such as Iraq. Manno said the FAA has issued, reviewed
or updated six special regulations and 10 warnings to pilots during the last
year.
"The nature of the threat, as we've seen in previous years,
continues to evolve," Manno said. "We must be nimble
accordingly."
Concerns about Israel reflected the speed at which threats
move. A Delta Air Lines flight July 22 from New York diverted to Paris rather
than risk landing in Tel Aviv, and other airlines suspended flights before the
FAA ban went into effect.
"Airlines are now often acting quicker than the
government agencies are, simply because in the private industry we have the
ability to do that," said Randy Harrison, Delta's managing director of corporate
security, who added that he has no complaints about the government.
While
the threat from shoulder-fired missiles is higher, Pike said those missiles
haven't proven to be the worry many have forecast.
For now, rest easy in
coach, if you can, Pike said. A surface-to-air missile isn't likely to hit your
plane.
"It's right up there by getting struck by lightning, which does
happen," Pike said. "There are a lot of things to worry about in this world.
This isn't one of them." |
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