Discussion &
Information Paper for the FAI Safety Expert Group
Otto
Lagarhus,
FAI Executive Director (Safety Portfolio)
The
following article is based mainly on an excellent editorial in the leading Norwegian
aviation magazine
«Flynytt»,
written by the editor-in-chief Torkell Saetervadet. It is, however, freely
modified and supplemented by
this author, who as a consequence take responsibility for the conclusions.
A study of official statistics
of GA accidents in Norway invariably gives us a sense of satisfaction, seeing
no urgent need for action. No fatal accidents with Norwegian
registered GA aircraft since
2005, and even accidents without fatalities are diminishing.
But the statistics from GA
flying in Norway (and most smaller countries) should be used with care, since
the statistical material is very small, and if used uncritically, could lead to
wrong conclusions and a false sense of comfort.
On the other side of the
Atlantic, in the home country of GA flying, the USA, the statistical material
is significant due to the high volume of GA operations. And here, it is an eye opener
to note that the accident rate has been relatively constant the last few years,
and that the rate seems surprisingly immune in spite of a number of important
safety initiatives that has been implemented by various stakeholders.
The NTSB (US) is so concerned
about this fact that it in July last year started a comprehensive study to find
the reasons for this, and to identify relevant actions. The
outcome of this study may well
be relevant for a number of other countries. In this context, it is interesting
to note the major advances in the safety of airline operations, where 2012 gave
us an all-time low in fatalities, confirming a strong downward trend. The same
tendency holds true for for road traffic (at least for the European countries I
am familiar with), where fatalities keep decreasing in spite of a fairly large
increase in volume.
There may be many reasons for
such a positive trend, but one should not underestimate that competent
engineers in the car and road design areas increasingly adopt the
philosophy that humans
actually make mistakes, and apply this in their work, installing «error
tolerant» equipment such as better seat restraints, multiple airbags, advanced
ABSbrakes and active driver warning and monitoring systems. This, combined with
improvements in road construction and the introduction of collision preventing
measures such as centerline dividers, result in a constant and sizable
reduction in fatal road accidents.
For the air transport sector,
the same is true, as the percentage of modern, state-of-the-art equipped
aircraft is increasing, with a very positive effect on safety. For the typical
small airplane driver, things are different. The majority of airplanes utilized
in GA are «vintage 1960» when it comes to design and equipment. Yes, most of us
utilize a GPS, and a few have installed ballistic recovery parachutes, but
except for that, the average GA pilot is not spoiled with modern tools and
safety devices.
It is interesting to observe
that changes promoted by authorities and other stakeholders actually are giving
negative effects. We are experiencing reduced availability of airports, increased
restrictions in available airspace and a much more bureaucratic and formal licensing
and maintenance regime, significantly increasing our cost of operation. It is
ironic to note that the NTSB back in 2002 determined that only 7 percent of GA
accidents were
related to maintenance issues,
and that this was the same year that EASA was established and started to
sharpen its pencils to introduce the new, bureaucratic and
complex Part-M rules.
So,
what is the remedy to make a quantum leap in the reduction of GA accidents?
In my opinion, it is to promote
and facilitate the introduction of modern safety technology in GA flying, to
ripe the same benefit that is experienced in airline operations and road
traffic. Statistics from the US shows that a modern GA aircraft such as the
Diamond DA-40-180 have an accident rate of 2,48 accidents per 100.000, of which
only 0,2 are fatal. Compare this to the total single-engine GA fleet, and you
see the numbers of 7,61 and 1,27 respectfully; a world of difference that
cannot and should not be ignored.
The conclusion is evident: GA
accidents can be reduced, and application of modern technology is one important
element. The civil aviation authorities must work harder to
facilitate and simplify the
certification and use of modern equipment with safety enhancing capabilities.
And the pilots themselves must accept the fact that modern equipment such as
mode S transponders for collision and obstacle avoidance, moving maps with
terrain awareness features, built in ballistic recovery parachutes - to name a
few - are essential tools to reduce and eliminate accidents. Our mission is NOT
to oppose the installation of such equipment, but rather to promote high volume
installations of cost effective equipment in order to bring the prices down.
The other side of the coin in
our fight to reduce accidents in general aviation - and in air sports generally
- is better training training to improve skills and foster better attitudes. Even
here, new initiatives are needed. The FAI «ISSR» concept («Improved Safety through
Shared Responsibility») may be one such initiative, and there are several
others. Although training for improved skills and better attitudes is
important, we must not ignore
or disregard the obvious and
well documented positive effect of adopting modern technology equipment. Let us
use our energy and influence to promote widespread
availability of cost effective
equipment that will give a real improvement in safety.
Ingen kommentarer:
Legg inn en kommentar
Merk: Bare medlemmer av denne bloggen kan legge inn en kommentar.