Illustration: Barents Observer/ Google map
Russia announces multiple missiles
towards Bear Gap as US Air Force bombers deploy to Norway for first time
Tension rises between NATO and Russia up
north with both sides showing off military hardware.
Read in Russian | Читать по-русски
By
Thomas Nilsen
February 17, 2021
“Impact area for Russian
missiles,” reads a short notice to airmen (NOTAM) for the danger
area activated north of mainland Norway. The warning is set for the period
February 18 to 24.
The timing is likely not a
coincidence. Within the next week, four US Air Force B-1 strategic bombers are
anticipated to arrive at Ørland Air Base in southern Norway in a first-ever
deployment to the country. According to the Dutch aviation news Scramble the date of arrival is
said to be somewhere late in week 7 or early in week 8.
A support team of 200 American
soldiers has already arrived at the Air Base,
preparing to serve the B-1 bombers.
“Given the timing and location of the Russian missile test, and the anticipated arrival of the US B1 bombers, the missile exercise may well be intended to serve a signaling purpose,” said Senior Research Fellow at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI), Kristian Åtland to the Barents Observer.
He said this could be Moscow’s
way to communicate dissatisfaction with the temporary presence of US bombers on
Norwegian soil.
“Incidentally or not, the
Russian test area is located between 22 and 25 degrees eastern longitude, in
other words around the 24th meridian,” Åtland explains. He elaborates:
“Allied aircraft do normally not conduct training activities east of this line,
due to Norway’s self-imposed restrictions.”
Spokesperson with the
Norwegian Armed Forces, Major Brynjar Stordal, confirms that Russian
authorities have announced a NOTAM area over international waters between
mainland Norway and Bear Island.Stordal said it is for Russia to “ensure the safety in
the area.”
“From the Norwegian side, we
of course monitor such activity in our immediate areas with the capacities we
find naturally,” Major Stordal said to the Barents Observer.
The waters between North Cape
and the Bear Island is important fishing grounds for both Norwegian, Russian
and EU trawlers.
The waters here are also
of strategic importance in the bigger power game between NATO and Russia, just
like during the days of the Cold War. It is here, from the North Cape, via the
Bear Island and north to Svalbard that the shallow Barents Sea meets the deeper
Norwegian Sea.
Kristian Åtland explains:
“This is an area which has traditionally played an important role in Russian
defense planning and the Northern Fleet’s “bastion defense” strategy. Simply
out, the Russian Navy has a “sea control” ambition in the maritime areas east
of this imaginary line, and a “sea denial” ambition in the maritime areas
further west and south, which are deeper than the Barents Sea.”
Of key importance for Moscow
in case of conflict is to ensure the survivability of its
second-strike nuclear assets, the ballistic missile submarines based with the
Northern Fleet.
In such scenario,
sailing west of the Bear Gap will make it much harder for NATO to track
them in the deeper parts of the North Atlantic.
The NOTAM warning for the
coming days does not specify which missiles will be launched in, or towards,
the impact area announced.
However, the press service of
the Northern Fleet on February 16 informed about the missile
cruiser Marshal Ustinov currently
sailing on a mission in the Barents Sea. The warship has been working in
interaction with anti-submarine aircraft, training joint search for imaginary
enemy submarines.
Marshal Ustinov sailed out from Severomorsk on
February 9 and is armed with anti-ship cruise missiles, surface-to-air missiles
and torpedoes.
Kristian Åtland said Russian
live-fire exercises and weapon testing in the White Sea, the Barents Sea, and
even the Norwegian Sea, has become an integral part of “the new normal” in the
High North.
“It may at times be a
challenge for fishing vessels operating in these maritime areas, as well as the
commercial air traffic that normally goes through the northern air space. On
the other hand, it is a good sign that Russia abides by established
notification procedures, including the NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) system,” Åtland
said.
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