US
is central to Australia’s strategic security, but what if they’re not
available?
31 MAY 2023
By: Stephen Kuper
Since the
Battle of the Coral Sea, the US has been the foundation of Australia’s defence
posture, providing, as former defence minister Kim Beazley states, the “top
cover”, but what if the US isn’t available?
It is an
undisputable fact that much of the peace, prosperity, and stability of the
post-Second World War paradigm came as a direct result of the US-led global
order.
In putting
an end to the often-ancient rivalries between varying imperial powers, the United
States, through its post-war economic, political and most importantly,
strategic might, guaranteed the freedom of the seas and promoted an explosion
of free trade across the globe paving the way for the modern, interconnected
global economy, and period of innovation we enjoy today.
Through this
might, both conventional in its strategic arsenal, the United States
established what has become known as a “strategic umbrella” where for greater
input into their ally’s security policy and easier access to their markets, the
United States would do the heavy lifting on the global geostrategic stage.
Australia,
the United Kingdom, Canada, and Western Europe have served as the beneficiaries
of this new globalised world and radically new approach, ironed out at the Bretton
Woods Conference, and then more drastically implemented through policies like
the Marshall Plan to reconstruct Europe following the devastation of the Second
World War — this golden era of the Pax Americana is now coming to an end.
This epochal
end was reinforced by comments made by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on
22 December 2022, when he stated: “When it comes to Russia’s war against
Ukraine, if we were still in Afghanistan, it would have, I think, made much
more complicated the support that we’ve been able to give and that others have
been able to give Ukraine to resist and push back against the Russian
aggression.”
Ready or
not, this new paradigm presents new challenges for Australia’s geostrategic
policy community and the planning surrounding the Defence Strategic Review
(DSR) as for the first time in lived memory, both we, and our great and
powerful friend, the United States, face an increasingly contested and
competitive world.
Despite the
challenges presented to both Australia and the United States, the DSR still
highlights the centrality of the United States to our national defence
planning, with former defence minister Kim Beazley, in an ASPI piece
titled US the critical ’top cover’ for the defence of Australia, articulates
reinvigorated role imagined for the United States in our national defence
planning.
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