Ricardo Traven i samtale med f.v. Trond Sølna, Reinhard Lillebø, Eirik Walle og Svein Duvsete Foto: Per Gram
I motsetning til hos oss, så går debatten om kjøp av F-35 høyt i Canada. Sjekk video
http://tinyurl.com/9wzqdm3 og artikkelen under med flere bilder og videoer her:
http://tinyurl.com/cckr767 Det siste er sprekken i et turbinblad som satte flyene på bakken. Det er visstnok en "fatigue" relatert hendelse; i seg selv alvorlig nok. Nå er det også et spørsmål om USAs politiske regime må sees på som ustabilt.
Undertegnede og AU i Flyoperativt Forum snakket med Ricardo Traven i 2010. Han var en av to displayflygere på Farnborough Air Show.
For litt lengre lesning for helgen mellom sportsinnslagene, så anbefaler jeg det som fremkommer under. Klart at noe er "sales pitch" fra Boeing, men merk deg at det innrømmes fra LM at deres produkt er dobbelt så dyrt som Super Hornet. Spørsmålet er:
Hva er man villig til å betale for stealth?
Traven gjør seg klar. Denne gangen i 2009 på Le Bourget Foto: Per Gram
Boeing touts fighter jet to
rival F-35 — at half the price
Super Hornet less stealthy, but
has lower sticker price and operational costs
By Terry Milewski, CBC News
Posted: Feb 27, 2013 8:54 PM ET
Last Updated: Feb 27, 2013 11:38
PM ET
The Super Hornet
In a dogfight of defence
contractors, the hunter can quickly become the hunted. It's
happening now to the F-35.
The world's
largest defence contractor, Lockheed Martin, is trying to convince wavering
U.S. allies — including Canada — to stick with its high-tech, high-priced and
unproven F-35 stealth fighter. But the F-35 is way behind schedule, way over
budget and, now, it's grounded by a
mysterious crack in a turbine fan.
After years of technical
problems, it's a tempting target for
Lockheed Martin's rivals.
It's
no surprise, then, that the No. 2 defence contractor, Boeing, smells blood.
With Ottawa now
reviewing its previous commitment to buy the F-35, Boeing is making an
aggressive pitch to Canadian taxpayers, offering to save them billions of
dollars if they buy Boeing's Super
Hornets instead.
Boeing isn't
pulling its punches. The Super Hornet, it says, is a proven fighter while the
F-35 is just a concept — and an expensive one at that.
"We call it competing with a
paper airplane," says Ricardo Traven, Boeing's
chief test pilot for the Super Hornet. A Canadian who flew fighters for 15
years in the Canadian air force, Traven dismisses the F-35 as a "shiny
brochure of promises," and contrasts it with "the real thing,"
which looms behind him in a top-secret hangar at Boeing's
vast production line in St. Louis,
Missouri.
All photographs and video are
closely monitored by Boeing staff to ensure nothing classified leaks out. Many
of the Super Hornet's best selling
points, they say, are classified. The same goes for the F-35. The difference,
says Traven, is that the Super Hornet is long since proven.
It has two engines to the F-35's one — and, unlike the F-35, it's ready now. Some 500 Super Hornets are already in
service with the U.S. Navy. Dozens have already been sold to the Australian air
force, which, like Canada,
was once committed to the F-35 but gave up waiting for it to prove itself.
Boeing and Lockheed Martin both
say their plane is superior in various ways. Lockheed Martin's headline feature is stealth. Boeing's is price. But with defence budgets shrinking
everywhere, price is increasingly what governments want to hear about.
On that, Boeing thinks it has a
compelling case — and not just because its plane is cheaper.
The Super Hornet currently sells
for about $55 million US apiece; the Pentagon expects the F-35 to cost twice as
much — about $110 million. But only 20 per cent of the cost of owning a fighter
fleet is the actual sticker price of the planes. Eighty per cent is the
operating cost — what it takes to keep them flying. That means everything from
pilots and fuel to maintenance and spares.
Psst! Wanna save $23B?
And that's
where the difference between the F-35 and the Super Hornet rockets into the
stratosphere.
"The current actual costs to
operate a Super Hornet are less than half the cost that the F-35 is projected
to be once it's in operation, just
to operate," says Mike Gibbons, vice-president in charge of the Super
Hornet program.
Less than half? But how can he
know that, since the F-35s are not yet in service?
'Twin engines, dual redundant hydraulics …
those are the things I don't want to
give up in flying to remote places or even in combat, because those are the
things that'll bring you home.'—Super Hornet chief test pilot Ricardo Traven
Gibbons is ready for the
question. "No one knows actually how costly that jet will actually be,
once it's in operation. We do know
how affordable the Super Hornet is currently because we have actual
costs." The Super Hornet costs about $16,000 an hour to fly, he says — and
the F-35 will be double that.
Really? That sounded too good to
be true — so CBC News dug into Boeing's
figures to see how credible they are.
According to the GAO, the Super
Hornet actually costs the U.S. Navy $15,346 an hour to fly. It sounds like a
lot — until you see that the U.S. Air Force's
official "target" for operating the F-35 is $31,900 an hour. The GAO
says it's a little more — closer to
$32,500.
CBC also asked Lockheed Martin to
say if it had any quarrel with these numbers — and it did not.
In a written response, a Lockheed
spokesman declined to offer any different figures, but insisted the F-35's operating costs would be "comparable to or
lower than" the "legacy platforms" — meaning, older jets — that
it will replace. Those do not include the Super Hornets, which Boeing says are
25 per cent cheaper to run than Canada's "legacy" CF-18s.
Lockheed also claimed the F-35
would "achieve cost advantages … by leveraging economies of scale"
gained by selling one fighter, with one supply chain, to different countries.
However, it remains to be seen whether those economies of scale are ever
realized.
As it stands, the official
estimate for a fleet of 65 F-35s is that they will cost $9 billion to buy and
almost $37 billion to operate over the next 42 years. So, a total of just under
$46 billion. If Boeing's figures hold
up, the Super Hornets would cost about half that.
The math is easy, but the result
is eye-popping nonetheless. It's a
saving of up to $23 billion.
Numbers like that have a way of
getting attention.
Sure, but what about stealth?
The next question is, though — is
it a second-rate plane? Instead of the "Fifth Generation" stealth
fighter that Lockheed Martin advertises, does Canada want to settle for a
not-so-stealthy Generation 4.5?
Boeing is ready for that
question, too. Mike Gibbons, the VP, phrases his answer carefully.
"We know that the Super
Hornet has effective stealth, and that's
really the key. In fact, we believe we have a more affordable stealth than many
other platforms that are being designed specifically and touted as stealthy
platforms."
Of course, he means the F-35 —
and he's not claiming to have better
stealth, just more affordable stealth. But his test pilot, Ricardo Traven, says
that doesn't mean the Super Hornet
is less likely to survive in combat.
As a pilot with experience in the
North, says Traven, he'd rather fly
with a little less stealth and little more agility. Lockheed Martin gave up
agility, he argues, to gain the former.
On the Super Hornet,
"sacrifices were not made for the purpose of stealth," he explains.
After numerous winter landings on frozen Canadian runways, he says, "You
want an airplane with large control surfaces, large flaps … these things give
the airplane a lot of manoeuverability."
Proponents of stealth, though,
want everything smaller so as to reduce the plane's
visibility on radar.
"The stealth engineers don't want large flaps, they don't
want large ailerons, they don`t want large wings, so everything is shrunk down
on an airplane like that to be stealthy. And so the cost of stealth is not just
the money. The cost is in capability and in performance …. Those capabilities
and performance I do not believe are worth the sacrifice for stealth,"
says Traven.
'The goose that didn't
get the memo'
These factors, Traven insists,
make the Super Hornet more "survivable," even if it's less stealthy. Similarly, he touts the virtues of
having twin engines. Sure, the F-35's
single engine may be very reliable, he says — but what if a bird gets sucked
in?
"It's
the goose that didn't get the memo,"
he says, which could destroy a single-engined aircraft. With two engines, the
pilot can still fly. Equally, Traven says, the Super Hornet's landing gear is more rugged and more suited to
snowy or slushy northern runways.
"Twin engines, dual
redundant hydraulics … I mean, I can go on and on," Traven enthuses.
"Those are the things I don't
want to give up in flying to remote places or even in combat, because those are
the things that'll bring you
home."
Don't
say Boeing doesn't know how to do a
sales job. And Lockheed Martin's no
slouch, either. In fact, Lockheed has a Canadian chief test pilot, too — Billie
Flynn, who's doubly Canadian, if it
comes to that, because he's married
to Canadian astronaut Julie Payette.
Top that, Boeing!
Actually, Traven has some
high-orbit Canadian connections, too. He's
an old air force buddy of another well-known pilot: Gen. Tom Lawson, no less —
who's now Canada's
chief of defence staff.
Lawson has long been a fan of the
F-35, but has recently begun to downplay the importance of stealth. He told CBC
News that government decision-makers might do well to listen to his former
comrade.
"Every aircraft brings a
level of stealth," said Lawson — not just the F-35. The new secretariat
that is looking at alternatives, he said, will have to see just how much
stealth each plane offers.
Does the Super Hornet have what
it takes? "I don't know,"
Lawson replied.
"We're
going to leave that to the team to look at. We don't
have Super Hornets. We have not, until recently, even considered purchasing
them. So I think that Ricardo Traven, my good friend that you mentioned, might
have something to say about that, that would interest the teams, the
whole-of-government teams, that are together to consider it."
Start your engines
So, the contest is on — and, if
it was once wired to make sure the F-35 won, it isn't
now. The government insists it really is "hitting the reset button"
and is serious about looking for alternatives.
CBC News contacted the European
manufacturers of the Typhoon — also known as the Eurofighter — as well as
Dassault, the French maker of the Rafale, and Sweden's
Saab, which makes the Gripen. All said they've
been contacted by the Canadian government and were ready to make their pitches.
But it's
Boeing's entry that will grab most
attention. It's the only American
competitor for the F-35, and being "interoperable" with the U.S. is a big deal for Canada. Boeing
is also offering to meet or beat the amount of contracts — known as
"industrial benefits" — that Lockheed Martin would steer to Canadian
companies.
With billions at stake, this
battle of the giants will be worth watching.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2013/02/27/pol-fighter-jets-boeing-superhornet-f-35-milewski.html
With billions at stake, this
battle of the giants will be worth watching.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2013/02/27/pol-fighter-jets-boeing-superhornet-f-35-milewski.html
Ingen kommentarer:
Legg inn en kommentar
Merk: Bare medlemmer av denne bloggen kan legge inn en kommentar.