mandag 27. april 2020

ICAO sier at det er voldsom reduksjon av antall passasjerer - Curt Lewis

Potentially 1.2 billion fewer international air travellers by September: ICAO


A specialised agency of the United Nations, ICAO was created in 1944 to promote the safe and orderly development of international civil aviation throughout the world. It sets standards and regulations necessary for aviation safety, security, efficiency, capacity and environmental protection among other priorities.

Montreal [Canada]: Compared to business-as-usual, international air passenger totals could drop by as many as 1.2 billion travellers by September 2020, according to the latest projections from International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO).

Its estimates also show that international capacity could drop by as much as two-thirds from what had been forecast for the first three quarters this year, leading airline revenues to drop by as much 160 to 253 billion dollars for the January to September period.

Europe and the Asia Pacific will be hardest hit by the capacity and revenue impacts followed by North America, said the United Nations agency for civil aviation

Similarly, the most substantial reduction in passenger numbers is expected to be in Europe, especially during its peak summer travel season, followed by the Asia Pacific.

Because air connectivity is so critical to economic and sustainable development in every world region, ICAO said this information is of critical importance to the many national governments and regional organisations now planning for their COVID-19 economic recoveries.

"As overall severity and duration of the pandemic are still uncertain, ICAO has developed six different recovery paths under two indicative scenarios to explore the potential short-term economic implication of COVID-19 pandemic," said ICAO Secretary General Fang Liu in a message to representatives of ICAO's member states.

Under a V-shaped path (a first sign of recovery in late May), there could be an overall reduction ranging from 41 to 56 per cent of seats offered by airlines and overall reduction of 705 to 963 million passengers, leading to 160 to 218 billion dollars potential loss of gross operating revenues of airlines.

Under a U-shaped path (restart in third quarter or later), there could be overall reduction ranging from 57 to 67 per cent of seats offered by airlines and overall reduction of 961 to 1.11 billion passengers, leading to 218 to 253 billion dollars potential loss of gross operating revenues of airlines.

A specialised agency of the United Nations, ICAO was created in 1944 to promote the safe and orderly development of international civil aviation throughout the world. It sets standards and regulations necessary for aviation safety, security, efficiency, capacity and environmental protection among other priorities.

The organisation serves as the forum for cooperation in all fields of civil aviation among its 193 member states. India is among the member states.(ANI)



Japan Airlines Is Flying Empty Planes To Los Angeles


A very telling image has been published by the Daily Mail that shows a solo passenger on an empty flight on April 15th from Japan to Los Angeles. The passenger wore a full hazmat suit in fear of the virus despite being the only passenger on board the aircraft.

With fewer passengers flying across the pacific between the two countries, just how empty are these flights?

What are the details?
You would have thought that Japanese Airlines flight JL 62 from Tokyo to Los Angeles (NRT-LAX) was a cargo flight or perhaps a very odd aircraft repositioning flight. The only telling sight that the flight was indeed carrying 'passengers' was a single patron in the economy cabin dressed in a full hazmat suit.

A lone traveler dressed in a hazmat suit was photographed on a practically empty Japan Airlines flight, illustrating how the airline industry is suffering amid the pandemic.

Simple Flying doesn't know who the passenger was, nor why they were traveling, but that their purpose must have been important to brave the trans-pacific journey from one coronavirus hotspot to another.

Images like these have become increasingly common since the aviation crisis began, with airlines reporting a fall of over 98% of all traffic.

"Travel demand is essentially zero and shows no sign of improving in the near-term,' executives wrote in a memo on April 15". Spoke a United Airlines spokesperson to the Daily Mail, outlining just how far air travel was from recovery in April.

"Less than 200,000 people flew with us during the first two weeks of April this year, compared to more than 6 million during the same time in 2019, a 97 percent drop. And we expect to fly fewer people during the entire month of May than we did on a single day in May 2019."

But this doesn't compare to how empty the flights are on the Japanese flag carrier.

Just how empty are these Japan Airlines flights?
You only need to log on to JAL.com and look at an upcoming flight to Los Angeles from Toyko to see how empty the seats are.

According to the carrier's website, so far they only have 27 out of 244 passengers booked for JL16 on the 29th of April.

Counting the seats, that leaves us with:
  • Two passengers in First
  • Four passengers in Business
  • Zero passengers in Premium Economy
  • 21 passengers in Economy
If anything, these numbers show that upgrading to premium economy is the first thing to go when it comes to seat selection. There are so many seats in the economy cabin that passengers are more than likely to have liedown room and don't see any point to upgrade.

Japan Airlines has been hard hit with the current aviation crisis, not only losing out on what was to be a big Olympic summer but also delaying the entry of its low-cost-carrier Zipair that was due to fly to Hawaii (originally due to fly in May). Until this crisis comes to an end, it looks like low numbers are the near future for the flag carrier.



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