Jeg tillater meg å være meget skeptisk til dette tallet som skal komme i tillegg til oppsagte, og permitterte flygere. Særlig når dette er en produsent av simulatorer som gjerne vil sørge for å holde aksjekursen på høyden. (Red.)
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CAE Forecasts Need for 260,000 New Pilots through 2029
2020-2029 CAE Pilot Demand Outlook this
morning, the international training specialist said its analysis shows that the
active pilot population is expected to return to 2019 levels in 2022. But
retirements and attrition are expected to become a challenge as air travel
recovers and will create an “acute demand” with a short-term need for some
27,000 new pilots as of late 2021, growing to 260,000 over a 10-year period.
In
business aviation alone, CAE is predicting 41,000 new pilots will be needed
over the next decade to make up for anticipated retirements and attrition and
another 4,000 to accommodate growth, for a total of 45,000
new professional business aviation pilots over the forecast period. The
airlines, meanwhile, need 126,000 new pilots to offset attrition and
retirements and then 93,000 to accommodate growth.
CAE
acknowledged that the sudden drop in air travel demand hindered the industry’s
growth trajectory, spurring thousands of furloughs. But it wondered
whether this might play into stronger pilot needs in the future. “Many of them
have pivoted to other professions and might not want to resume their pilot
careers,” CAE said, stressing that fundamental factors driving pilot
demand before the pandemic remain in place.
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