Ikke ofte Curt Lewis setter inn feil bilde. Her av en europeisk maskin, Eurofighter Typhoon II. (Red.)
224 killed, 186
aircraft lost. Military pilots worry about being ‘the next accident’
Military aviation
accidents have killed 224 pilots or aircrew, destroyed 186 aircraft and
cost more than $11.6 billion since 2013
WASHINGTON — Military
aviation accidents have killed 224 pilots or aircrew, destroyed 186
aircraft, and cost more than $11.6 billion since 2013 — and many aviators
believe those numbers will keep rising, a congressional commission
established to investigate those crashes has found.
The bipartisan
National Commission on Military Aviation Safety was established by Congress
“to make an assessment of the causes contributing to military aviation
mishaps” after a string of deadly military crashes in 2018.
The commission conducted
confidential interviews with thousands of military pilots, maintainers,
aircrew and ground crew and looked at five years of accident data from 2013
to 2018 to get a better understanding about why the non-combat crashes were
occurring.
McClatchy obtained
a copy of the commission’s report, which was publicly released later on
Thursday.
“You’d like to
think after 18 months we came up with some silver bullet recommendations,” Army
Gen. Richard Cody, chairman of the commission, said in an interview with
McClatchy. “But it’s a whole bunch of things that are out of balance.”
What they did hear
repeatedly from pilots and maintainers was that the situation had not
improved.
“We went to 80
different places, 200 different units,” said Cody, who over his 36-year
military career flew more than 5,000 hours in Army helicopters.
“They all worried
about being the unit that was going to have the next accident. Almost every
interview.”
In private, candid
meetings, the commissioners asked service members: What do you think will
cause the next mishap? The answers they got jarred them.
“The question of
the next mishap was not hard to answer at one Marine base, where a junior
Marine told the Commission that his unit was reusing expendable $5 filters
on aircraft. The unit, he explained, still had missions to do even if there
was no money to purchase new filters,” the commission reported.
Training cutbacks
have also taken a toll and could hurt aviation safety down the road, pilots
told the commissioners.
“This seems
irreversible,” a Navy squadron commander told the commissioners. “I have
increasingly unqualified people to teach the new generation who are then
going to be less qualified to train the next generation.”
The cumulative
effect was a demoralized military aviation force, Richard Healing, vice
chairman of the commission, said on a call with reporters.
“The pilots were
demoralized by not being able to fly enough, the maintainers were
demoralized by not having parts,” said Healing, a former board member of
the National Transportation Safety Board.
‘My kids don’t
know who I am’
Unpredictable
funding, coupled with back-to-back demands for military aircraft to respond
to the invasion of Iraq and Syria by the Islamic State, Russian aggression
in Europe and calls to increase presence in the Asia-Pacific region to
counter China have taken a toll, the report found.
The 2013 budget
reductions known as sequestration cut personnel, flight hours and depot
maintenance and required the aviation community to do more with less. In
the years that followed, thousands of experienced aviators and maintainers
left military service for commercial aviation despite being offered sizable
retention bonuses to stay.
Their departures
have further increased the workload on those who have remained.
“We see human
factors and an increase in mishaps,” another Air Force senior maintainer
said. They don’t have experience and are tired. They are tired and are
crying for help. The response is shut up and color.”
“My kids don’t
know who I am,” said one Marine Corps aviator. “They don’t know when I am
going to be home. That stuff leads to the burnout and distraction while
flying.”
New pilots
recruited to backfill the aviation ranks pay the price too, because they
receive fewer training flight hours and have fewer experienced instructor
pilots available to teach them, the report found.
Despite increased
funding over the last several years, few pilots are getting the flight
hours required to stay proficient, they told the commissioners. Instead,
the military services are relying heavily on waivers for those
requirements.
“Except for the
trainers and evaluators, everyone in my flight company had minimums
waived,” one Army pilot told the commissioners.
Pilots aren’t
getting enough flight hours in part because reduced manpower has forced
them to take on administrative tasks, and in part because the funding
increases don’t immediately result in more available fighter jets, due to
the time it takes to build and repair aircraft.
In interviews with
reporters in 2018 during a spate of crashes, former Defense Secretary James
Mattis cautioned it would take years to see improvements.
“When you say, ‘I
want an F-18 Super Hornet,’ they start building it. It won’t come to us for
many, many months. But that’s the reality when you’re starting to bend
metal and do more than click a mouse,” Mattis said at that time.
Lacking basic
skills
Maintainers, who
repair and keep the aircraft fight ready, told the commission of an
increased reliance on simulators to make up for a lack of hands-on training
or trainers.
Some new
maintainers could not even identify basic tools to open up aircraft because
the computer-based training program used to graduate them “removed the
panel with a click of the mouse,” the commissioners reported.
“Coming out of the
schoolhouse, most (new maintainers) don’t know the difference between a
Phillips head and a standard screwdriver,” a senior Marine Corps maintainer
told the commission.
“We are teaching
basic tools now,” a different Air Force noncommissioned officer told the
commissioners. “A lot don’t know what a ratchet set is. If you ask for a
ratchet set, they bring a socket.”
The Defense
Department gets the largest share of the U.S. discretionary budget. In
fiscal year 2020 the Pentagon received more than $718 billion, an increase
from $686 billion in the 2019 defense budget.
However, for 13 of
the last 18 years Congress has not been able to pass a budget by the start
of the new fiscal year, instead passing continuing resolutions that keep
funding at previous years’ levels while they work on final legislation, the
commissioners said.
But continuing
resolutions don’t cover the annual rise in costs such as payroll and
military health care. To cover the difference, the Pentagon often pulls
from military aviation, meaning that pilot training and maintenance
programs have to belt-tighten until the full budget arrives months later,
the commissioners said.
“Late funding, no
matter the amount, cannot reverse the impact of months of insufficient
flying hours, missing parts, and deferred maintenance. Timing is
everything,” they said.
Future risk
The commission’s
report comes as the federal government is facing additional budgetary
pressures. The budget deficit and the immediate domestic spending needs
driven by the COVID-19 pandemic likely mean the Pentagon will be facing
flat budgets again for the next several years, two defense budget experts
said.
Whether that means
aviation accidents will again spike depends on the spending choices the
Defense Department makes, they said.
“I think safety
and a general degradation in readiness is at real risk from flat or declining
budgets, but it is not a foregone conclusion,” said Todd Harrison, director
of defense budget analysis at the Center for Strategic and International
Studies. ” DoD and Congress can avoid putting flight safety at risk even in
a down budget environment if they make the tough decision to reduce the
size of the force.”
Dan Grazier, a
former Marine Corps captain and military fellow at the Project on
Government Oversight, said it’s likely the Pentagon will again look to
aviation budgets to cover any spending gaps, instead of cutting the
purchase of new weapons systems.
“I think it is an
absolute certainty that cuts will come from existing aircraft and
operations and maintenance accounts,” Grazier said. “When this happens,
maintenance issues will be deferred and we will unfortunately see readiness
rates fall and mishaps increase. It shouldn’t be this way, but the business
of the Pentagon is buying weapons.”
Recommendations
In its report to
Congress and the president, the commission provided 24 recommendations to
improve pilot and maintainer retention and improve flying safety records,
including:
— The Defense
Department should establish a Joint Safety Council within the Office of the
Secretary of Defense, staffed by safety chiefs from each military branch to
elevate accident prevention and reporting to the highest levels within the
Pentagon. The council would gain access to centralized incident reporting
and analytics, to help prevent future accidents.
— Congress and
future administrations should “stop using continuing resolutions to fund
national security, military readiness, and aviation safety, and that the
Congressional Budget Office conduct a study on the negative impacts of
continuing resolutions on military readiness.”
— Military
services should provide maintainers tuition-paid training in airframe
maintenance in exchange for extended military service so they can obtain
professional licenses, which are expensive to pursue. That would give them
an edge in getting jobs in the commercial aviation industry after leaving
the military.
— Centrally track
waivers given to pilots to “create a baseline, and monitor them to identify
trends, assess risk, and predict potential problems and resource
shortfalls.”
— Each military
unit should make sure it has sufficient administrative personnel to allow
aviators and maintainers to concentrate on their primary mission.
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