Report: Future Aviation Will Require Massive Energy Growth - April 28, 2023, 2:48 PM |
- April 28, 2023, 2:48 PM
As low carbon aviation fuels increase in use, their production and necessary energy input will become a major infrastructure consideration. (Photo: Curt Epstein/AIN)
With sustainability a key area of focus for
the aviation industry, design and engineering consultancy Atkins has released
a white paper examining the energy requirements
needed to meet future aviation demand.
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), hydrogen,
and batteries have all been identified as potential low-carbon power sources
for the next generations of aircraft, but the energy pathways to generate or
store those sources will need to grow dramatically over the next half-century,
according to the paper’s author.
While existing fossil-based jet fuel
results in more energy being released when propelling the aircraft than is
required to extract and refine it, production of the low-carbon fuel options
under consideration is more energy intensive. Based on estimated energy
efficiencies, the forecasted fuel mix, and the anticipated growth in the
aviation sector, Atkins analysts predict that 44,000 terawatt hours (TWh) per
year will be required by 2070 to meet the global aircraft fuel demand, a 5,700
percent increase from current aviation energy demands as the fleet transitions
from fossil fuels, and nearly twice the world’s current electricity demand.
The paper noted that a new, large-scale 3.2
GW nuclear power station could be expected to generate 25 TWh of electricity
per year, meaning it would take 1,800 of these stations to meet that demand.
The paper noted that the power requirements could change over time depending on
which of the spectrum of fuels proves prevalent, with SAF production requiring
the least energy input and e-fuels the most.
“Whilst the mix of low carbon alternative
fuel is yet to be determined, the production, storage, and transportation of
fuels has implications for energy and airport infrastructure, and their
emissions need to be considered across the whole lifecycle, from 'source to
force',” said Andrew Caughey, Atkins’ sustainable aviation lead for aerospace.
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