New German government revisits Tornado replacement
options
Jan 10, 09:44 PM
Visitors walk past a Lockheed-Martin F-35 Lightning stealth fighter plane at the ILA Berlin Air Show on April 25, 2018, in Schoenefeld, Germany. Berlin is reconsidering its mix of Tornado aircraft replacement options, which could put the stealthy jet back on the radar in 2020, according to a press report. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON – Germany is once again weighing its
options for replacing the country’s aging Tornado aircraft fleet, which could
put the F-35 back on the table.
The plan, first reported by German press agency
DPA over the weekend, follows a pledge in the coalition government agreement
late last year.
The review would re-open a recommendation made by
then-Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen in early 2019 for phasing out
Germany’s nearly 90 Tornados by the end of the decade. It ditched an F-35 option, fearing purchasing that
fighter jet would upset the Franco-German defense alliance with the Future
Combat Air System at its core.
Officials instead favored buying a roughly equal
number of Eurofighters and new-generation Boeing F-18s. The latter would fly
electronic-attack missions and serve as a bomb carrier under Germany’s NATO
nuclear-sharing commitments, the thinking went.
The German defense ministry on Monday declined to
say whether the F-35 is now expressly back under consideration. Conversations
between Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht and Chancellor Olaf Scholz about
Tornado replacement options, reported by DPA as having happened last Thursday,
are considered “internal,” a spokeswoman told Defense News.
Officials pointed to a Dec. 19 Lambrecht interview
in the Bild am Sonntag newspaper, where she was quoted as favoring a “European”
plane for the nuclear-sharing mission while at the same time leaving open the
possibility that the requisite U.S. certifications may not happen in time, or
at all.
“I will consider all options,” Lambrecht said.
Germany’s Tornado replacement debate is a
recurring exercise for the country’s defense intelligentsia. For the nuclear
mission, it is now believed Washington would likely only allow a U.S. aircraft,
although even the degrees of atomic readiness among the F-35 and the F-18 are
disputed.
Against that backdrop, the nuclear mission is
controversial to begin with, treated as a necessary evil by the new government
in the formulation of a defense and security agenda that also includes
nonproliferation goals.
For the electronic-attack mission, the German
defense industry, led by Airbus Defence and Space, had lobbied against an F-18
Growler choice ever since Von der Leyen’s recommendation, arguing the
Eurofighter could be developed to at least a similar level of capability.
Meanwhile, introducing the F-35 back into the mix
of German considerations, even the talk of it, could lead French officials to
question Berlin’s commitment to the Future Combat Air System. That, in turn,
risks not only toppling the sixth-generation aircraft program but the European
Union’s defense-industrial ambitions as a whole.
The question is if FCAS could co-exist with
a German F-35 acquisition, especially given that the DPA report suggests those
planes would primarily work doomsday stand-by duty.
German industry should not be expected to actively
support any U.S. aircraft in the Tornado-replacement decision, Reinhard Brandl,
a member of the opposition Christian Social Union and the parliamentary defense
committee, told Defense News in an interview. At the same time, he noted it’s
primarily the electronic-attack portfolio that German companies are most keen
on guarding against American products.
And the French-German cooperation on FCAS is far
from going swimmingly at the moment, according to Brandl, who blamed France’s
Dassault for refusing to sign an industry contract for the aircraft portion of
the program.
“Dassault is not ready to accept Airbus as a
partner on equal terms,” he told Defense News. “They are saying, ‘We’ll do
FCAS, but only by our rules.’”
With Dassault’s export order books for its Rafale
fighter full, the company may see less reason to agree on an FCAS fighter and
focus on upgrades for its own jet instead, Brandl argued. In that sense, German
talk of of an F-35 buy may serve as a fall-back option, he added.
A Dassault spokeswoman did not immediately respond
to a question about the status of the industry contract.
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