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REGIONAL PILOT BONUSES
If there was ever any doubt about the need for pilots, or the need to try
and retain pilots, those doubts have been squarely put to rest.
In August, Piedmont, PSA, and Envoy, all of whom fly under the American
Airlines banner, announced significant retention bonuses. All captains are to
receive $30,000 immediately, first officers will receive $30,000 when they
upgrade, all pilots who stick around for the flow to American will receive
$70,000, and there will also be $50,000 biannual bonuses available, with the
details to be announced.
This is a blatant admission that the pipeline of pilots is drying up. It
might also be an admission of sorts by American Airlines that pilots are not
sticking around to get the promised flow to the American mainline. While I don’t
have the details about how this program will work, or what the catches are, this
indicates that the adage that “money talks” is going to be put to a test.
For example, how long will an upgrading FO have to stay to receive and keep
the $30,000 bonus? What if that FO decides to bid back to the right seat for
personal reasons? What is the structure of the biannual bonus? And, perhaps most
important to so many of the pilots at the three airlines: how long do they have
to realistically wait to get a shot at American? If the wait is too long, the
problem is not going to be solved, as those pilots who are experienced and
marketable will apply to Delta, United, Southwest, et al. If I am in management
at American Airlines Group, I would be trying to figure out what to say to get
them to stay.
It remains to be seen whether Delta and/or United will feel compelled to do
something similar. Make no mistake that while the pilots in question are flying
RJs, these bonuses are approved and maybe even initiated by management, since
they pay the bills. It is clear that they see a shortage on the horizon.
I recently had a pilot from American on one of my flights, and while this
wasn’t yet public knowledge, the overall need for pilots is, and we were
discussing the state of the industry going forward. Every major airline will
tell you that they all have the same 4,000 to 5,000 who are viable candidates in
their pool of applicants. What makes this such a challenge is that, for the
first time ever, multiple carriers are trying to hire at least 1,000 pilots a
year. Delta, United, Southwest all would love to train more than that, and
JetBlue is not far behind. UPS, FedEx and the Amazon contractors (Southern and
Atlas) all need experienced pilots. While the pay at Southern and Atlas is still
below where it should be, there is reason for optimism that the pilots are on
the verge of a new contract that will dramatically increase compensation.
It doesn’t take much to see that four airlines hiring 1,000 pilots each
will quickly deplete the current pool of available talent. It’s important to
realize that these aren’t just pie-in-the-sky numbers either. While the pandemic
is not over, travel demand has rebounded, and people are ready to move. Airlines
responded to the downturn by offering early retirement packages that helped
avoid furloughs. Retirements are not going to slow down, and every carrier is
ordering airplanes that will result in a net growth of their fleets. They
wouldn’t be doing this if they didn’t have confidence that the business would be
there. In fact, in 2022, United will be taking a new airplane every three days.
It’s been decades since the majors have seen that kind of movement.
This is going to create an incredible series of opportunities, but it will
also put great strains on each company’s training centers. There will be
positions open as instructors, evaluators, course content creators, and more.
Recruiters will also be in demand. New and more airplanes will also open up
opportunities for mechanics, which is another area of great staffing concern.
But for us as pilots, this represents an opportunity to try as many different
types of flying as you might care to experience. Ultra long haul, cargo, wide
body, narrow body, charters, Boeing versus Airbus…it is all on the table. Some
pilots will bid aggressively and fly every plane in the fleet, and others will
find a niche and settle in for the long haul in one seat or one fleet. You
certainly won’t starve.
I am curious to see the gotchas of the American Airlines Group deal with
its subsidiaries, but I do think it is indicative of the state of an industry
that needs to work hard to make learning to fly more accessible, more
affordable, and more attractive. Let’s hope that this is just the beginning! -
Chip Wright
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