TOP OF THE AGENDA |
A closer look into Putin's possible next steps |
The Kremlin accused the “collective West” of
escalating the war in Ukraine. Credit: Reuters |
The
conflict between Ukraine and Russia has been escalating in recent weeks, from
North Korean troops arriving in Kursk to US
President Joe Biden authorising the use of long-range missiles to strike
Russia and landmines on Ukrainian territory, to
Russian President Vladimir Putin lowering the threshold that could trigger nuclear
retaliation before using a new type of missile. Our Russia editor
Steve Rosenberg has delved into the question on many people's minds: "Do
you know what Putin will do next?" In his piece published Friday, Steve tells
us: "I’ll be honest with you. I don’t." But he does have three
important observations. First, de-escalation doesn't seem to be an option for
the Russian president. Second, there are scenarios in which nuclear threats
should be taken seriously. And finally, if the Kremlin thinks Donald Trump
can help them end the war on terms beneficial to Russia, it might hold any
major escalation right now. "If that calculation changes, so could
Moscow’s response," writes Steve.
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